Bayesian Trials 77030

John Cook at The Endeavor posted this comment by Mithat Gönen of Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center about a recent paper concerning Bayesian clinical drug trials of chemotherapeutics.

"While there are certainly some at other centers, the bulk of applied Bayesian clinical trial design in this country is largely confined to a single zip code."

That zip code is 77030 and it’s the zip code for M.D. Anderson Cancer Center. Here’s a great article about M.D. Anderson just published in the New York Times by Gina Kolata.

Bayesian decision-making approaches are proving their worth every day in a wide variety of fields and more than a few courts are starting to grasp and apply probabilistic decision rules. Expect to see more and more Bayes decision theory as courts take an increasingly modern approach to the question of causal inference in mass tort cases.

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